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2024-12-14 01:28:48

This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.First, the three sisters of A shares are divided today, which is worrying.We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.


First, the three sisters of A shares are divided today, which is worrying.Today's A-shares fluctuated within a narrow range, and the main force took measures to stabilize the market and ease the anxiety caused by yesterday's high opening and low going. Even Hong Kong stocks, one of the three sisters, were too busy to take care of, and the market closed again, which drama will A-shares sing tomorrow? Let me talk about a few personal views.We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.


Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.

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